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  • ProPublica projects.propublica.org investigative journalism news 2026-07-21 09:00

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    The post My Maddening Quest to Find Out if Blueberries Come From Farms Where Workers Were Harmed appeared first on ProPublica.

    Illustration by Andrew B. Myers for ProPublica

    Over the past year, I’ve reported at length about crimes against farmworkers who have come to the U.S. legally from Mexico and Central America. 

    I haven’t stopped thinking about how they suffered. Their wages were stolen, guns were pointed in their faces, and one woman I met was held captive, raped and nearly killed.

    As I wrote those stories, there was something else I couldn’t stop thinking about — something I keep thinking about: Whenever I go to the grocery store, I have no easy way of knowing if the fruits and vegetables I put in my cart are part of the problem I’ve documented.

    Footage from labor contractor Javier Sanchez Mendoza in 2018 on a blueberry farm. Mendoza was charged in a federal indictment and pleaded guilty to conspiracy to engage in forced labor. via Facebook

    I eat a lot of blueberries, which happen to be the fruit grown most in the state where I live, Georgia, and the state where I tracked these abuses. During the long drives back and forth between my home in Atlanta and my reporting trips in the rural South, I had a lot of time to consider how little we know about the farms that feed us.

    Max Blau/ProPublica

    I struggled with the disconnect between the problems on America’s farms and the limited awareness of those problems in most American households. I felt that disconnect in my own kitchen, every time I reached for the berries in my fridge.

    I wanted to know: With enough digging, would it be possible to determine if the blueberries I’m buying come from farms with a record of mistreating workers?

    Federal regulators don’t require blueberry brands to disclose on their packaging any information about the individual farms they buy from. So I had to spend time — a lot of time — trying to figure that out.

    I started by looking at labels on the blueberry pints in my grocery stores.

    I snapped photos. I researched the brands. I read government records.

    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    Max Blau/ProPublica
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    A grid of six blueberry packages with different labels.
    Max Blau/ProPublica

    If you look closely, you’ll see that the pints often list the state where the berries are grown or the city they’re distributed from. But not the farm itself.

    Mauricio Rodríguez Pons/ProPublica

    As it turns out, the pints sold by a specific brand aren’t always sourced to a single farm. To keep up with demand, and to help keep prices low, brands buy berries from a whole bunch of farms and sell them under a single label.

    That makes it even harder to know if the berries you’re buying come from farms where workers were harmed.

    Illustration by Andrew B. Myers for ProPublica

    I was able to trace one brand’s berries back from my grocery stores to an individual farm. I’m not going to name that brand, though, because its practices are hardly unique. 

    Sure enough, I found that the brand did buy berries from a farm that had hired a labor contractor, and that contractor was responsible for some of the abuses in one of America’s largest labor trafficking prosecutions.

    That case, which I wrote about at length, revealed that thousands of foreign farmworkers had been illegally charged fees by labor contractors to work in the U.S. Some were forced to pick crops for little to no pay in what prosecutors described as a form of modern-day slavery. 

    This wasn’t the first case of the abuse of farmworkers at the hands of labor contractors. Or the last. Many of these harms might have been prevented if the workers had received the protections they were promised by the U.S. government. And there have been no substantial reforms to address the abuses, either.

    Fifteen Mexican passports and stacks of U.S. currency on a patchwork blanket in front of a pink purse.
    Federal prosecutors entered as evidence photos of the housing that defendants had provided to farmworkers. Obtained by ProPublica
    A dimly lit red room filled with mattresses stacked vertically.
    Federal investigators seized a trove of passports that they say had been confiscated from farmworkers by the defendants. Obtained by ProPublica

    The reason contractors exist in the first place is because farmers struggle to find workers in the U.S.

    Many farmers speak only English. So they end up hiring contractors to bring foreign laborers to the U.S. and oversee their work.

    That outsourcing can shield farmers from responsibility for — or even awareness of — harm against their workers.

    Labor regulators have repeatedly failed to make sure that contractors do what the government requires them to do: keep workers safe and pay them what they’re promised.

    Many farmers, brands and grocers were reluctant to talk to me about these abuses. 

    I spoke with experts to see if there are ways for consumers to know if the people picking their blueberries are being mistreated.

    Those experts, who study farm labor conditions and food supply chains, said the gold standard for preventing worker abuse is the Fair Food Program. Under the program, supermarkets and other corporate buyers commit to paying a little more for produce — a cost so negligible, at a few pennies per pound, that one expert said it shouldn’t drive up prices. 

    For those few pennies, grocers get crops from farms that offer their workers stronger protections.

    Two farmworkers wear long pants and long sleeves, and bend over a row of tomato plants, with red buckets at their feet. Green tomatoes are scattered on the dirt around them.
    Pacific Tomato Growers is one of a few dozen farms to participate in the Fair Food Program, which protects workers against abuse and exploitation. Audra Melton for ProPublica

    Fruits and vegetables from those farms are labeled with a green sticker of a woman holding a basket of tomatoes. The stickers give consumers like me a clear indication that the workers who picked that produce were treated fairly. 

    When I’ve found these tomatoes in my grocery stores, they don’t cost measurably more than others without the label.

    Tomatoes with “Fair Food” stickers in a wooden bowl.
    Mauricio Rodríguez Pons/ProPublica

    Dozens of farms have signed on to the Fair Food Program, and participation in it has been shown to prevent abuse in the fields.

    But only a few small blueberry farms participate in the program.

    Until that or something else changes, consumers will know virtually nothing about the farms their blueberries come from. And they won’t be able to make choices that could make a difference in the lives of the people who pick them.

    ProPublica reached out to more than 75 blueberry brands, grocery stores, fast-food chains, farmers, trade groups and labor contractors over the course of reporting this series. 

    Only one brand responded. Dole wrote in a statement that it requires contract farmers to comply with labor laws to protect “worker welfare.” Dole added it can trace berries back to the farms where they came from but that it has not made that information available to consumers.

    ProPublica also reached out to over 30 of America’s largest grocery and fast-food chains to ask why they haven’t joined the Fair Food Program or expanded their limited participation. None of the companies answered questions about the program.

    Over two dozen trade groups declined to talk about why so few farmers participate in the program. Some have opposed efforts by regulators to enact protections like the ones that the program requires. They said the changes would “burden the whole industry for a few bad apples” who disregarded the rights of workers.

    The post My Maddening Quest to Find Out if Blueberries Come From Farms Where Workers Were Harmed appeared first on ProPublica.

  • ProPublica projects.propublica.org investigative journalism news 2026-06-25 10:05

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    The post Carbon Captured appeared first on ProPublica.

    An investigation by ProPublica and Drilled has found that fossil fuel companies have been funding climate research at prestigious U.S. universities for more than 30 years. Their support has helped amplify the work of scientists who promote the idea that we can stop the climate crisis without breaking our dependence on oil, gas and coal. 

    The research produced by those schools in turn shaped global climate models, as well as the policy and technology solutions adopted by governments around the world. 

    Ultimately, it fostered a misperception that climate change could be solved without dramatically curtailing fossil fuels — a notion that has delayed emissions cuts by decades.

    Corporate funders sponsored entire centers, paid the salaries of researchers, kept offices on campus and in some cases had veto power over projects. 

    Companies maintain they are supporting innovation and needed science. Universities say that with safeguards, sponsorship enhances research programs while preserving academic independence.

    Still, the impact of funding constitutes a pattern that Benjamin Franta, an associate professor of climate litigation at University of Oxford, called the “colonization of academia.”

    The post Carbon Captured appeared first on ProPublica.

  • ProPublica projects.propublica.org investigative journalism news 2026-06-25 10:00

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    The post Why Carbon Capture Can’t Conceivably Solve Climate Change appeared first on ProPublica.

    This story works better on ProPublica’s website.

    Global leaders are banking on tech advances to solve climate change.

    One leading idea is to capture carbon pollution from the air and then bury it underground forever.

    It may sound practical.

    There is no conceivable way it can work.

    For more than 40 years, oil companies have been funding research at prestigious universities into climate change “solutions” that would not require the public to stop using oil and gas. Among their favored fixes is carbon capture and storage.

    An investigation by ProPublica and Drilled has found that boosters of CCS have ignored evidence of the technology’s limitations, or overstated its potential, and convinced the world it could be effective. 

    They’ve promoted this idea despite the fact that for CCS to work at the scale now envisioned, the world would need to devote almost unimaginable resources. Even if that were done, it might still prove impossible to trap so much carbon dioxide inside the earth.

    Optimism has reigned, however, because small tests have worked and because slow global response to climate change has left few other options.

    In 2008, the International Energy Agency projected that to stave off dangerous levels of warming, we would have to be burying around 1.6 billion tons, or 1,600 megatons, of CO2 per year by 2025.

    Since then, its optimistic projections have continued. But deployment of the technology has never come close to those ambitions.

    Right now, globally, we’re permanently burying less CO2 than a single large power plant can emit in a year.

    Some experts point to the CO2 that gets pumped into the ground to help extract oil as proof CCS works. But that process, called enhanced oil recovery, isn’t designed to function the same way and isn’t monitored as stringently.

    Global leaders are betting on carbon capture working now more than ever.

    The models used in the latest United Nations assessment presume the technology succeeds.

    IEA representatives and U.N. modelers say their projections reflect what the world has to do to achieve its goals of averting extreme warming.

    To make CCS work, we would need to capture CO2 pollution in four ways:

    Trap it from smoke stacks.

    Absorb it from the air with fast-growing grasses or trees, then capture it from those plants when they are burned for fuel.

    Scrub it from the air, often using giant fans.

    Then we would pump all of it into porous rock deep beneath the earth’s surface.

    The U.N. analysis now suggests that countries must inject 6 billion tons of CO2 underground each year by the middle of the century.

    Getting 6 billion tons of CO2 a year out of the atmosphere, though, is a daunting task.

    Imagine the neighborhoods and parks near oil, gas or coal-fired industrial plants. We would need to add equipment to capture the CO2 from each facility, in some cases doubling its land footprint.

    And we would need to devote about 768,000 square miles of land worldwide to growing those carbon-absorbing plants. That would cover an area roughly the size of Mexico — and compete for valuable land used to grow food or sustain forests.

    If all of this works, and the CO2 is successfully captured, it must then be moved to a place where it can be buried.

    In the U.S. alone, this could require building more than 68,000 miles of new pipelines in a little more than two decades.

    That’s more than double the distance to fly around the earth.

    And longer than the country’s entire interstate highway system.

    Globally, pipelines could tally in the hundreds of thousands of miles.

    To cross the oceans, we would need at least 85 specially built tankers to move the high-pressured gas. As of April, there were only three ships in the world equipped to do that.

    Then, there is the challenge of finding a place to put 6 billion tons of CO2 a year.

    Today, just 12 large-scale geologic reservoirs have attempted to permanently store CO2 pollution — but we would need more than 2,000 reservoirs of that size for CCS to work, each requiring years of study and engineering before it could be used.

    That means we would need to open a brand new geological waste site somewhere on the planet every four days for the next 25 years.

    Every site would need constant monitoring for decades to ensure the CO2 doesn’t leak.

    Even if this could be done, it would cost tens of trillions of dollars.

    Right now, U.S. taxpayers are paying oil and gas companies $85 for every metric ton they put underground.

    At that rate, by 2050, the world could be spending half a trillion dollars — more than China’s military budget, and 10 times more than the U.N.’s humanitarian and development aid budget — each year.

    The few test sites that exist suggest that keeping carbon underground may not work at scale.

    Since 1996, while the 12 large-scale geological storage projects have opened, plans for another 12 have been scrapped. Many CCS sites in operation — in Norway, Algeria, Australia and the U.S. — have been mired in problems, pointing to enormous challenges ahead.

    Some rock layers can hold far less CO2 than experts have estimated.

    Finicky pipes and injection systems can get clogged or break down.

    The rock that seals CO2 in place can crack, risking a leak. In one instance, injected CO2 caused the ground above it to bulge.

    In another instance, CO2 escaped from an old oil industry well nearby.

    Thorough, long-term monitoring can be expensive, but without it, such leaks could be missed.

    Climate experts know about the costs, technical troubles and failures of CCS test projects.

    Yet many of them have continued to boost the technology even as they have downplayed solutions showing greater progress.

    For example, the same modelers who overestimated the potential of geological carbon storage repeatedly underestimated solar power — one of the energy technologies that would allow more oil to remain in the ground.

    Over the last several decades, solar power is the technology that has thrived. 

    Carbon capture and storage remains elusive.

    Notes on Data Sources

    The modeled pathways, what we call projections, for deployment of carbon capture and storage are from text and tables in the International Energy Agency’s Energy Technology Perspectives and World Energy Outlook reports, and from correspondence with the IEA. The 2008 and 2010 projections are from the IEA’s Blue Map scenario; a second 2010 projection is from the Net Zero by 2050 scenario; 2018 is from the Sustainable Development scenario; and 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024 are from the Announced Pledges, Stated Policies and Net Zero by 2050 scenarios. Some of these scenarios represent pathways designed to achieve a specific temperature or concentration of CO2. Other scenarios represent what is possible based on current policies or pledges. Pathways from years where underlying data was not provided in the IEA’s report were excluded.

    In response to emailed questions, a spokesperson for the IEA said, “The IEA’s long-term modelling and scenarios are not designed to predict future deployment of technologies; the different scenarios we produce are intended to explore the potential implications and trade-offs of different policy, technology and investment choices.” The agency said that solar power has succeeded in part because of successful policy support for it, especially in China, and that CCS has lagged because of a lack of similar support. It added that CCS remains a part of the solution portfolio for industries that might otherwise be hard to decarbonize. The spokesperson noted that a record number of CCS projects are under construction. 

    Data for the actual CCS capacity derives from the IEA’s CCUS Projects Database. We defined large-scale projects as those with the estimated capacity to store at least 500,000 metric tons of CO2 annually. The data comprises only projects that were completed and that permanently store CO2, rather than those that utilize CO2 for enhanced recovery of oil and gas or other uses, since those uses can create more carbon than they store or have looser requirements for monitoring. 

    Of the 12 completed CCS injection projects, 11 remain operational and one has been decommissioned. The annual total for carbon stored assumes the projects operated at their stated capacity each year since launch, which few have done. The comparison to the volume of CO2 emitted by a single large power plant is derived from data provided by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

    The projections for solar power production are from the IEA’s World Energy Outlook reports. Data depicted is from the Announced Pledges, Current Policies, New Policies, Net Zero by 2050, Reference, Sustainable Development and Stated Policies scenarios. Data was limited to projections from IEA reports from every other year to make the chart less cluttered. 

    Data for the actual deployment of solar energy was taken from IEA’s World Energy Outlook and Energy Technology Perspectives reports. 

    Data comparing projections and deployment of carbon storage and solar energy was initially compiled by researchers Rory French and Lindsey Gulden.

    The 6 billion tons target figure is derived from the 2024 paper “The feasibility of reaching gigatonne scale CO2 storage by mid-century.” It reflects the median quantity of subsurface carbon storage among scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Sixth Assessment Report scenario database that have a greater than 67% chance of limiting warming to 2°C. 

    The IPCC said it does not develop or run the models that create the scenarios in its database, and noted that the Assessment Report includes information contextualizing and questioning the models’ assumptions around solar and CCS deployment.

    The estimate of 768,000 square miles of land needed to grow biomass comes from the Sixth Assessment Report’s Technical Summary, which states that the cropland area needed to keep warming below 1.5°C with no or limited overshoot is around 199 million hectares in 2050. 

    The estimate of 68,000 miles of pipeline is sourced from the 2021 Net-Zero America report. 

    To calculate how many large-scale CCS reservoirs would be required to meet the 6 billion metric tons target, we assumed the projects would bury as much as the largest carbon storage project has in its largest year, the Gorgon Carbon Dioxide Injection Project in Australia, which injected 2.7 million tons in 2019. That figure came from the 2025 annual report from the London Register of Subsurface CO2 Storage, produced by Imperial College London. 

    To calculate the total annual cost for CCS projects by 2050, we multiplied the $85-per-ton subsidy the U.S. offers industry in its 45Q tax credit by 6 billion tons. 

    China’s 2025 military budget is sourced from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

    The U.N.’s humanitarian and development aid budget for 2024 comes from the U.N. Systems Chief Executives Board for Coordination’s expenses factsheet.

    The post Why Carbon Capture Can’t Conceivably Solve Climate Change appeared first on ProPublica.

  • ProPublica projects.propublica.org investigative journalism news 2026-06-08 10:00

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    The post What ProPublica Found in the Genetic Code of America’s Measles Outbreaks appeared first on ProPublica.

    A collage overlays a black-and-white photo of a wooden sign reading “Measles testing” in a scene with a Texas flag in the background. Illustrations of genetic sequences and branching diagrams surround the sign, with red banners highlighting various DNA configurations that are labeled with locations and dates from Texas and Utah.
    Photo illustration by Lisa Larson-Walker/ProPublica. Source image: Julio Cortez/AP Photo.

    American children lined up for the world’s first measles shots in the early 1960s, but it took nearly 40 years of shoring up immunization programs before the infamous contagion had been so thoroughly controlled that a panel of experts declared in 2000 that the United States had eliminated measles within its borders.

    For a quarter century, the U.S. only saw outbreaks when infected travelers brought the virus in from abroad. The resulting waves of measles didn’t last more than a year.

    Those days are gone.

    Measles began tearing through the dusty plains of West Texas in January last year, and since then, all but a handful of states have seen cases. Two unvaccinated Texas girls and an adult across the border in New Mexico died before the West Texas outbreak seemed to burn out last July.

    By then, measles was popping up in Utah, and state health officials couldn’t tell where the earliest patients had caught the virus. Infections in that state took off that fall and winter and continued into May of this year.

    The Texas and Utah cases now sit at the center of an unusually technical — and politically fraught — question: whether the United States will lose its measles-free distinction.

    Countries aren’t penalized for losing the status, but it’s an indication of cracks in a nation’s once rock-solid immunization programs, a loss of faith in vaccines among its people — or both.

    To have any chance of keeping the designation, the U.S. will need to make a strong case that measles didn’t spread endemically — from person to person in a continuous chain within the country for more than a year. If the Texas virus, for example, made its way across the Southwest to Utah and continued infecting people there, that would be a problem. But if cases in Utah were instead sparked by a patient who caught measles abroad, that would be a new chain, restarting the clock.

    For clues, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is analyzing the full genetic code of measles viruses that infected patients. Last November, the CDC’s leader at the time said preliminary genomic analysis suggested the Utah cases were not directly linked to those in Texas. A spokesperson for the Department of Health and Human Services told ProPublica that the work was done by the state laboratories and the CDC is conducting a more comprehensive investigation.

    ProPublica embarked on its own analysis, reviewing over 1,800 whole genome sequences, including those released as recently as last month, to compare the genetic fingerprints of measles viruses circulating in the U.S. and Canada. This showed that the measles virus still spreading in Utah as of this May is very closely related to the one that sickened Texans over a year ago.

    ProPublica’s analysis isn’t a smoking gun that proves endemic spread. It’s impossible to tell from this information whether the virus spread from state to state or if it at some point left the country and was brought back by a sick traveler.

    But given how similar the viruses are in the sequences ProPublica identified, it’s going to be difficult for the U.S. to prove measles isn’t endemic — “unless CDC has something up their sleeves,” said Dr. Alberto Severini, a retired molecular virologist and measles expert who spent two decades at Canada’s Public Health Agency.

    This is a small portion of the genetic code from a sample of measles virus collected in Utah in May 2026. Each letter represents one of the four molecules that encode the unique instructions for how the virus is built and operates.

    ProPublica compared it to the sequence from a virus collected during the first days of the Texas outbreak in January 2025.

    The two sequences are nearly identical. But when you look closely, mutations — tiny changes in the virus’s genetic code — begin to appear. These mutations form a distinct fingerprint.

    Out of the nearly 16,000 genetic letters in each sequence, only 12 differ between the original Texas virus and the Utah virus sampled more than a year later. The mutations did not appear all at once.

    As the virus spread in Texas, tiny copying errors appeared in its genetic code. One of these cropped up weeks into the outbreak: a G molecule turned into an A.

    Over the following months, this branch of the outbreak continued spreading — and continued mutating. By May 2025, a virus collected from a Texas patient bore five distinct mutations.

    Then those same five mutations appeared in Utah. A virus carrying this distinctive genetic pattern was found there in June 2025.

    Soon, measles cases surged in Utah. Many viruses collected there carried the same five mutations, along with additional new ones. Related viruses continued infecting Utah residents as recently as this May.

    The unique fingerprint of mutations hasn’t been limited to these states. The five mutations observed in Texas and Utah were also present in sequences the CDC published of viruses that infected patients last May and June in Iowa, North Dakota, Minnesota and Alaska.

    But it’s not clear that the genetic fingerprint is only in the U.S.: No whole genome sequencing has been made public from cases in either Mexico or the Canadian province of Ontario, where measles has also raged.

    That matters because whether the virus was spreading continuously in the United States for more than a year — rather than circulating abroad and being brought back into the country by travelers — is a key question facing a panel of experts convened by the Pan American Health Organization.

    A regional office of the World Health Organization, PAHO will decide whether the U.S. keeps its measles-free designation. Canada lost its status last year. PAHO invited the U.S. to make its case in April, but American officials asked for more time to investigate how the virus had been spreading. The review was moved to November.

    Daniel Salas, a PAHO official, said the kind of thorough analysis that CDC is doing “takes time.”

    “What the U.S. is trying to do with this whole genome sequencing is trying to find some patterns that could eventually say, for example, this mutation of the virus occurred in a different country, in a different place to the current outbreak that they’re trying to analyze, so that eventually, that might be taken into consideration to somehow replace the epidemiological information that is missing,” he said. “There’s no country that has done this before.”

    One of the biggest questions is how the virus got into Utah. Health officials determined that the first confirmed patient there, identified last June, couldn’t have been exposed to measles in another country or even another state. Utah State Epidemiologist Dr. Leisha Nolen said she and her team reviewed the places the patient had been and the people they had been around, but still couldn’t figure out where they caught the virus.

    Clues suggested measles had been quietly spreading in the region. A CDC disease detective investigating subsequent cases that spanned the Utah-Arizona border said there had been reports of community members with rashes last June, but the patients declined measles testing and families were often reluctant to answer questions.

    Throughout the outbreak, no interviews suggested any patient was exposed in another country, Nolen said, but she and her team cannot rule out the possibility.

    ProPublica asked the CDC whether its epidemiologists had linked any of Utah’s measles cases to an international outbreak, but the agency wouldn’t say, nor would it directly comment on genetic similarities ProPublica found between viruses in Texas and Utah. In a written statement, a spokesperson said, “Sequencing alone cannot determine whether transmission has been continuous or sustained.”

    While genomic analysis can provide clues, the spokesperson wrote, “These findings must be interpreted alongside epidemiological data, including travel history, exposure information, and known outbreak connections.”

    The CDC is still working on “a comprehensive analysis of potential linkages among cases and outbreaks” and has gathered additional epidemiological data, the spokesperson said, but did not elaborate on what that shows.

    With the midterm elections approaching, the spread of measles has become a political liability for President Donald Trump, who picked the founder of an antivaccine organization to be his health secretary. Since Trump’s inauguration last year, there have been more than 4,300 U.S. cases, a high not seen in three decades.

    Eliminating the endemic spread of measles is the public health equivalent of slaying a dragon. The disease is among the most contagious humans have ever encountered. Patients are infectious even before the telltale rash appears, and the contagion can linger in a room for two hours after they leave.

    Policymakers built the U.S. immunization system on lessons learned from measles outbreaks. To get the sky high-vaccination rates needed to stop the disease from spreading, states made shots mandatory for school and daycare attendance, and the federal government provided them free to low-income kids. When measles still managed to roar back, state lawmakers in California and New York cracked down on exemptions to their school mandates. The U.S. helped other countries fight measles, too, not only to prevent deaths but also because people in power recognized that infectious diseases kept in check abroad are less likely to return to American shores.

    During prior U.S. outbreaks, health and political leaders, with unwavering language, urged Americans to vaccinate their children and assured them the shots were safe.

    Trump and HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. haven’t followed that playbook. Both have fueled doubts about the safety of the MMR shot, which guards against measles, mumps and rubella.

    Researchers around the world have found the vaccine does not cause autism. Nevertheless, at a press conference on autism last fall, Trump said he had heard for years that there was a problem with the combination vaccine and urged parents to insist on separate shots for their kids — even though standalone shots don’t exist in the U.S.

    Kennedy has said the vaccine offers protection from measles, but he also has repeatedly made the shot sound scarier than the disease.

    “There are adverse events from the vaccine,” he told Sean Hannity on Fox News last year. “It does cause deaths every year.”

    On a podcast, Kennedy said that when he got the virus as a kid, he got to watch television for a week. “I got chicken soup and vitamin A, which nobody can patent,” he said.

    Measles kills 1 to 3 out of every 1,000 people infected and can cause deafness, intellectual disability and brain swelling. In a “know the facts” post, the Infectious Diseases Society of America said there have been no deaths shown to be related to the shot in healthy people. “There have been rare cases of deaths from vaccine side effects among children who are immune compromised, which is why it is recommended that they don’t get the vaccine,” the medical society explained. “That’s why it is so important that everyone who can get vaccinated does so, to protect those who can’t.”

    HHS spokesperson Andrew Nixon said in an email that Kennedy “believes Americans deserve clear information about both the benefits and risks of medical products so they can make informed healthcare decisions in consultation with their healthcare providers.”

    Nixon said “heavy-handed mandates” contributed to the significant loss of trust in health institutions during the COVID-19 pandemic. “The Secretary maintains that public health agencies rebuild trust through honesty, transparency, and respect for individual choice — not coercion,” Nixon wrote.

    Kennedy has tried to distance himself and the administration from the measles resurgence. He said the U.S. has done a better job of limiting the spread than any other country and pointed to the far higher number of cases in Canada and Mexico, whose populations are much smaller.

    White House spokesperson Kush Desai told ProPublica, “Fake News reporters should be spending more time examining why the Trump administration’s efforts to contain America’s measles outbreak has been so much more successful than those of Canada and Mexico instead of regurgitating the same, tired narratives.”

    Kennedy has also reminded lawmakers that the Texas outbreak began before he became health secretary.

    “We have a global pandemic,” he told senators in April. “It has nothing to do with me.”

    Kennedy has been among the most prominent voices in the antivaccine movement for more than a decade.

    Dr. Adam Ratner, a pediatric infectious disease physician who wrote a book about measles, said Kennedy has done “everything in his power to undermine confidence in vaccines in the U.S.”

    During a measles outbreak in New York City that began in 2018, Ratner treated at least five unvaccinated kids who were hospitalized, including a couple who needed intensive care, so he knows that not every child escapes the disease with nothing more than memories of screen time and soup.

    While most parents still support immunizations, Ratner worries that the country no longer has the stomach for the kinds of policies that once stopped endemic spread. Rather than making school vaccine requirements stricter, some states are working to do away with them altogether in the name of medical freedom.

    “You need a highly vaccinated population to control the spread,” he said. “In the absence of that, I think that we will have ongoing spread, and we’ll have tragedies like the ones that we saw in West Texas with the two kids who died.”

    The U.S. may very well find the international travelers it needs to prove that the country is still measles free. But if all remains the same, experts said, it will only be delaying the inevitable.

    “It doesn’t change the fact that there’s been transmission of measles in the United States for over a year,” Severini said. “If people don’t vaccinate, measles is going to be endemic.”

    Methodology

    To discover that the viruses that sparked cases in Texas and Utah months apart were closely related, ProPublica analyzed whole genome sequences published by Pathoplexus, an open-source project that aims to make it easier to access viral genomic data. This data included sequences published on GenBank by the CDC and the Utah Public Health Laboratory, as well as sequences published directly to Pathoplexus by the Public Health Agency of Canada.

    Researchers often aren’t able to transcribe all of the beginning and end of the measles virus genome. ProPublica used Pathoplexus’ “aligned” sequences so that each genetic bit — and its mutations — would be numbered consistently between different sequences of variable length.

    To start, ProPublica modified a version of the Nextstrain bioinformatics tool to use more than 1,800 whole genome sequences of the particular strain named by health authorities as D8 DSID 9171 (or strains directly descended from that genotype), which has dominated cases in North America since 2025.

    Some parts of the virus are harder to reliably sequence and are transcribed as missing data. In its analysis, ProPublica filtered out sequences where less than 90% of the aligned sequence was encoded.

    Using Nextstrain and other software (including IQTree and Beast), we compared the mutations in different samples to sort them into groups of related viruses. This allowed us to build out a family tree that showed how infections in different parts of the U.S. and Canada were related to each other.

    The branch of the family tree we focus on in the story is first differentiated from other measles sequences with a substitution at the 15,589th nucleotide, with a total of 627 sequences matching in the data available in late May. Most sequences in this branch were produced by the Utah Public Health Laboratory, but the branch includes sequences collected in a total of 16 states. Samples outside of Utah and Arizona were mostly submitted by the CDC, with some additional sequences produced by the Washington State Department of Health Public Health Labs and the Los Angeles County Public Health Laboratory.

    While over 400 whole genome sequences from Canada have been published, none belonged to the branch where virtually all of the sequences from the Utah outbreak have been clustered. Sequences published so far belonging to this branch have only come from the United States.

    The graphic detailing the virus’s mutations uses sequences that can be found at this link. They were selected for being the earliest high-quality sequence with data in all regions where these mutations occurred. The sequences and the relative mutations can be viewed in their entirety here. The mutations highlighted in the figure are the following nucleotide substitutions in order of appearance: G15589A, G5664A, G8017A, C11171T, C3087T, C2678T, T4832C, T7161C, G5094A, T4710C, G2065A, C6114T.

    The post What ProPublica Found in the Genetic Code of America’s Measles Outbreaks appeared first on ProPublica.

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